A little while ago the International Olympic Committe anounced that the 2012 Olympic Games will go to London, and not the expected Paris.
All the CNN people expressed shock, but I could have told you about this two days ago. That's because the odds on Paris (the prohibitive favorite) went from 1:9 down to 4:11. That's a HUGE jump. The betting odds go which way the money goes, which means all the serious late money was coming in on London.
And let me tell you something: serious money (read: organized crime) doesn't screw up. That's why last September I knew Bush was a mortal lock two days before even though the pollsters were saying it was a dead heat. Why? Because 98% of the money was coming in on Bush.
Lesson: you ALWAYS follow the money.